英阿之间浓烈的敌对情绪，其最核心的现实锚点在于马尔维纳斯群岛（英称福克兰群岛）的主权争端。

小梅西隆重登场！曼联公布第二场热身赛大名单，800万新援落选谢什科仍伤缺

77861 ★

摘要：奥利塞在世界杯上送出最多助攻，身价上涨2000万欧元，以1.7亿欧排在第四。

这不是一次普通的总监入职，而是带进多达十名亲信的“完整套餐”。

1、Kai云体育 1990年代出生于武汉的黄冠，本科华中科技大学自动化专业，硕士考入中科院自动化研究所，博士读的是清华大学自动化系。

2026年7月，北方华创的市值跌了2000多亿。Kai云体育若8月Pre-IPO轮如期完成，月之暗面将在不到一年内实现从43亿到500亿美元的跨越。

2、赛前

约21万辆的涉事车辆规模中绝大多数是网约车、出租车等营运车辆。

3、重庆合川高温有人热死？警方辟谣

德容会如何选择，目前尚无定论。

4、王菲前经纪人怒斥王菲破坏锋芝婚姻谣言：“我一定告死你”

” 弗里克的爱将：全能属性与战术服从作为主帅汉斯·弗里克麾下的多面手，埃斯帕特曾被比作德国传奇拉姆。

5、世界第4挺进淘汰赛：3场不败小组第1，凯恩3场轰入3球争夺金靴

AI的算力竞赛动辄涉及百亿级的投入，单张高端AI芯片价格就能达到数十万元，一次完整的大模型训练周期成本更是可达数亿元。

长鑫99%营收仍来自DDR和LPDDR，HBM暂时当不了利润稳定器。

然而，足球的魅力不仅在于历史的厚重，更在于当下的悬念与渴望。

6、法国右翼政党领袖勒庞判决震动欧洲：她可以参加选举了

波黑与卡塔尔各积1分，基本失去直接晋级希望。

以前我们觉得"毕业再想找工作"，现在大二大三就在分岔了。

7、当褪去金标白金标后，马拉松还剩什么

但颁奖仪式上发生的一切，比决赛本身更具话题性。

为支撑高强度的资本开支，谷歌在Q2展开了频繁的融资动作，包括通过发行股票及可转换优先股获得496亿美元净募资，签署了最高可达400亿美元的ATM股票发行协议。

8、西班牙2-0法国进决赛！亚马尔成姆巴佩克星，生涯11次交锋狂揽9胜

行业对这个消息还没消化完，一周后，一张疑似追觅创始人俞浩的魔法原子内部群截图在圈内流传。

这一变化也影响了巴萨的转会规划。

但这恰恰最符合半导体产业规律——没有捷径，只有迭代。

9、巴音体育场全面恢复对外开放!

评估依次经过方案生成、程序化计算校验、受控湿实验以及电泳与测序确认，覆盖11个模型和4个失去有害功能良性代理构建体，最终以物理可执行性证据验证组装流程。

届时，阿莫林如何排兵布阵将会有一个更加清晰的轮廓，部分待考察球员的去留也将尘埃落定。

10、世界杯动容1幕：27岁球星跪地痛哭！儿子胎中夭折全队安慰

第二笔是获客账。

而在这之前，他就因背部持续不适缺席了训练——这个问题困扰了他整届赛事。

1、盼十一假期的打工人，都在熬夜钻研这份厕评红黑榜

目前托莫里合同仅剩一年，今夏是俱乐部避免其自由离队的最后套现机会。

2、被问爆的南瓜纸巾盒，白色奶油风太治愈啦！_网易订阅

” 无论是高昂的Token调用成本，还是惊人的获客支出，是Agent商业化的第一重成本鸿沟。

3、图片报：科隆接近免签加纳国脚左后卫吉迪恩-门萨

不管是在巴萨还是在我们这里，他都拼尽全力。《哥斯拉大战金刚》演员因车祸意外去世，年仅19岁Race with top 1%，serve the 99%，价格打下来，大家都用起来，之后会有正向反馈和循环。

4、上海人家信箱里的“家电维修卡”，承诺“不修不收费”！记者越查越不对劲：“热线”被多人投诉，网点是空的

必须坚定信心、保持定力，坚持稳中求进工作总基调，扎扎实实办好自己的事，更加注重把握好局部与全局、政策稳定性与灵活性、存量政策与增量政策、公平与效率等四方面关系，在识变应变中把握主动，在攻坚克难中实现新的发展，全力完成年初制定的目标任务，确保资本市场“十五五”良好开局。

5、开拓者108-101击败掘金！杨瀚森再创纪录，不愧是首轮16号秀

” 更可贵的是，这时市场已经起了变化——中芯国际、长江存储、长鑫存储等头部晶圆厂，纷纷向北方华创打开产线。

6、中国第一省会，让民营企业站C位！

5.8倍不是全部三巨头的PE都在4到8倍之间，这不是巧合。

全部湿实验均在严格安全约束下，使用经关键位点突变、失去有害功能的良性代理序列，仅验证组装流程，不会在任何阶段产生具有功能活性的危险产物。

与此同时，FSD 交出了一个更具体的数字：截至二季度，开通 FSD 的活跃用户达到 148 万，同比增长 56%。

7、普门科技董事刘先成增持13万股，增持金额136.76万元

黑山小将的技术特点偏向现代型前锋，有持球推进能力，双足都能处理球，无球跑动意识在同龄人中属于上乘。

此前租借赫罗纳的经历并不如意，一次严重的大腿伤势还让他错过了世界杯。

8、《空之轨迹2nd》经典玩法来了！收集癖大满足

用户不需要再逐个打开App反复填信息、做跳转，只需要说出一句话，AI就能自动联动多个应用完成复杂任务。

一家公司的市场空间很大，却不知道下一份订单何时出现；某项技术可能改变世界，却不知道商业化还要烧掉多少钱；一只股票被低估，却不知道什么力量会促使其他投资者重新定价。

随着迪涅转会巴黎圣日耳曼，维拉急需补充边后卫，主帅埃梅里对埃斯图皮尼安在比利亚雷亚尔及布莱顿时期的进攻属性颇为赏识。

据talkSPORT报道，为了压价，阿尔特塔可能会把哲凯赖什加入交易，作为冲抵部分转会费的人头筹码。

23分大胜，中国时隔十年重返八强 NFL、MLB、美职车队、高尔夫世巡公开招募詹姆斯… 天崩开局 5-4爆冷！世界杯黑马逆袭：17天改命击碎44年神话校服十问答疑丨市教育局回应家长关注热点问题

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Nexfin News — China’s lithium battery industry is undergoing a rite of passage, transitioning from wild expansion to disciplined competition. In the first half of the year, a rare divergence between surging corporate earnings and falling stock prices brought a permanent shift in the sector’s underlying dynamics into sharp focus. By mid-July, A-share lithium battery stocks pulled back despite dramatic midyear earnings forecasts. Tianqi Lithium projected net profit growth of up to 4,935% year-over-year, EVE Energy forecast a 95% to 110% increase, and both Sunwoda and REPT BATTERO turned profitable again. Across the supply chain—from upstream lithium salts to downstream battery makers—most companies reported substantial operational gains. Yet robust earnings failed to stop equity valuations from sliding. On July 8, Chengxin Lithium hit its daily downside limit, Yahua Group dropped over 15%, and Tinci Materials saw more than 30 billion yuan in market value evaporate within a week. Ganfeng Lithium has fallen roughly 38% from its peak, while market leader CATL is down about 20%. The immediate trigger for the selloff was the resumption of operations at CATL’s Jianxiawo lithium mine. On June 29, the mine secured its safety production permit, which was officially posted on the Credit China website on July 7. The site—the world’s largest single lepidolite mine—had been idle for over ten months. With an annual capacity of roughly 100,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate, it previously accounted for 8% to 10% of China’s total output. Its return brings over 45,000 tons of additional supply in the second half of the year, hitting elevated lithium prices head-on. Futures markets reacted instantly: on June 18, as restart speculation grew, the main lithium carbonate contract fell 6.58% in a single session, beginning a steady slide from its May high of 205,000 yuan per ton. This stark contrast between thriving industrial output and falling stock prices coincided on the surface with lithium carbonate pulling back rapidly from its May peak of 200,000 yuan per ton to 151,000 yuan. But a more critical question remains: is this the sign of a cyclical peak, or is the industry undergoing a profound revaluation? Answering that requires stepping back to examine the paradigm shift that unfolded across the lithium battery sector between 2025 and 2026. The essence of this shift is not the fluctuation of any single price signal, but a permanent realignment of the industry's competitive playbook—moving from "who expands the fastest" to "who possesses technology, steady profits, and global compliance capabilities." From 60,000 to 200,000 In late June 2025, battery-grade lithium carbonate dropped below 60,000 yuan per ton, touching a three-year low of 59,900 yuan. Lithium salt producers across the sector incurred heavy losses, forcing widespread shutdowns among small and medium-sized manufacturers. From Australian hard-rock mines and small African projects to domestic lepidolite producers, virtually all marginal capacity went offline that summer. A two-and-a-half-year price slump accomplished its single necessary function: clearing out excess supply. By the fourth quarter of 2025, supply and demand dynamics reversed faster than the market had anticipated. The initial spark came from energy storage demand. Data from research firms including InfoLink show that global energy storage cell shipments reached roughly 610 GWh in 2025, up over 90% year-over-year, with fourth-quarter volumes alone topping 200 GWh. Production schedules showed energy storage cells clearing lithium carbonate inventories at an accelerating quarter-over-quarter pace. As growth in electric vehicle batteries moderated, energy storage stepped in not just to absorb excess capacity, but as the industry's primary growth engine. Surging demand was only half the story; supply contracted just as sharply. Small African mines and high-cost domestic lepidolite operations exited the market. Meanwhile, Zimbabwe announced a temporary suspension of lithium concentrate exports in February—a country that accounted for 15.5% of China’s lithium concentrate imports in 2025. Although Australia remained the primary pillar of China's upstream raw material supply at over 50%, the policy further tightened market expectations surrounding upstream supply. Zimbabwe's Ministry of Mines later confirmed that a formal export ban would take effect in January 2027. The tension between supply and demand peaked with the onset of a structural global deficit. Morgan Stanley estimated in early 2026 that the global market would face a shortfall of roughly 100,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) for the year. Soochow Securities calculated total annual lithium mine supply at approximately 2.14 million tons, representing 440,000 tons of new capacity—most of which was not slated to come online until after the third quarter. That timing gap fueled the price rally during the first half of the year. Driven by these converging forces and inventory restocking across midstream channels, lithium carbonate surged from 70,000 yuan per ton in October 2025 to 200,000 yuan by May 2026. Unlike the speculative frenzy that drove prices to 600,000 yuan in 2022, this recovery occurred after capacity had been fully built out, anchored firmly by real end-user demand. Gaogong Industry Research Institute (GGII) summarized the shift: "This is not a bubble, but a return to fundamental value. The structural surge in energy storage demand, combined with supply-side consolidation, has redefined a rational price band for lithium." Prices doubled quickly due to market sentiment and downstream stockpiling. July’s price correction reflected two main factors: the gradual release of new supply and downstream resistance to inflated raw material costs. Analysts generally expect lithium carbonate to trade within a median range of 120,000 to 160,000 yuan per ton for the full year—a price level that keeps most producers profitable without triggering another round of reckless expansion. Energy Storage as the New Engine In the first half of 2026, China's energy storage battery shipments reached roughly 485 GWh, a year-over-year increase of over 80%. Over the same period, power battery shipments totaled roughly 630 GWh, up over 30%. The gap between the two segments is narrowing rapidly. Structural figures are even more telling. In the first quarter of 2026, Chinese energy storage battery shipments totaled about 209 GWh, up 115% year-over-year and accounting for roughly 40% of total lithium battery shipments. By June, energy storage cells made up nearly 41% of monthly production schedules—up from around 30% a year earlier. According to InfoLink, full-year energy storage cell shipments in 2025 reached roughly 610 GWh, approaching 70% of power battery shipments over the same timeframe. Energy storage is no longer a side business for battery makers; it has emerged as an independent market reshaping demand across the industry. Behind this market realignment lies a fundamental shift in purchasing drivers. Before 2024, domestic energy storage growth was driven primarily by mandatory integration policies, which required wind and solar projects to install storage capacity. That regulatory setup created low-quality demand, leading to poor utilization, weak financial returns, and inconsistent cell quality. Between 2025 and 2026, market dynamics pivoted from regulatory compliance to commercial economics. The shift first materialized in the domestic market. In early 2026, the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration jointly issued new capacity pricing regulations (NDRC Pricing [2026] No. 114), establishing a national capacity tariff mechanism for standalone energy storage facilities. Local standards were set between 165 and 330 yuan per kilowatt-year, depending on the province. Surveys by Soochow Securities indicated that internal rates of return (IRR) for storage stations in several provinces crossed the 6% threshold required for commercial viability, especially where peak-to-valley price spreads exceeded 0.3 yuan per kWh. IRRs for top-tier projects reached as high as 10%, fundamentally improving overall demand quality. This domestic turning point coincided with an explosion in international demand. Major solar-plus-storage projects launched across the Middle East, particularly in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, with individual project capacities regularly reaching several gigawatt-hours. In emerging markets across Australia, Southeast Asia, and Africa, weak power grids and rising renewable energy penetration transformed energy storage from an optional luxury into a necessity. Soochow Securities calculated that utility-scale storage installations in emerging markets grew 233% year-over-year in 2025, with an additional 69% increase projected for 2026. In Europe, energy security concerns and green energy quotas kept commercial, industrial, and residential demand robust. GGII projects that global energy storage battery shipments in 2026 will reach 800 to 1,100 GWh, representing year-over-year growth of 30% to 70%. Even at the mid-point estimate of 900 GWh, energy storage output is positioned to approach or match power battery production this year. As the industry's primary growth engine shifts, its core operational requirements are evolving as well. Power battery demand is dominated by automakers, whose priority is cost efficiency. The customer base for energy storage, however, is far more diverse: utility operators prioritize long cycle life and safety, data center owners require high discharge rates and extreme reliability, and overseas projects demand lifecycle compliance and supply-chain traceability. Winning in these markets requires technological adaptation, solid project execution, and international compliance capabilities rather than sheer scale. Oversupply or Industry Maturity? Evaluating battery utilization rates requires a closer look at the underlying numbers. In May 2026, the single-month installation rate for Chinese power batteries dropped to roughly 38%. Over the first five months of the year, cumulative power battery installations totaled 259 GWh against 863 GWh produced—yielding an overall utilization rate of about 30%. Factory output continues to outpace vehicle installations, leaving a substantial share of manufacturing lines underutilized. The five-year trajectory of Chinese power battery installation rates tells a clear story: 70% in 2021, 54% in 2022, roughly 52% in 2023, 50% in 2024, 44% in 2025, and 38% by May 2026. This steady decline in installation rates offers clear evidence of an industry transitioning from rapid early growth into maturity. Yet labeling the sector simply as oversupplied misses crucial nuances. The market is not experiencing a uniform glut; rather, it is undergoing sharp structural polarization. High-end shortages coexist alongside low-end surpluses. Demand for premium batteries with energy densities above 160 Wh/kg—primarily ternary chemistries—rebounded sharply, rising from a 6% market share in 2025 to 11%. Meanwhile, low-end products under 125 Wh/kg have effectively been phased out. Demand has also diverged sharply between commercial and passenger vehicles. Driven by subsidy policies, battery demand for electric heavy trucks and delivery vans surged, with battery consumption for electric cargo vans rising 169% year-over-year. By contrast, electric buses—once the industry's primary market—fell to fifth place. While market leadership remains dynamic, the nature of competitive moats is shifting. CATL and BYD together retain a 68% market share, but second-tier players like Gotion High-tech, EVE Energy, Svolt Energy, and Hithium are making gains. Competition is shifting from pure capacity expansion to technological differentiation and operating margins. From another perspective, declining installation rates are a natural hallmark of industry maturity. As annual growth moderates, a drop in capacity utilization from 70% to 40% is to be expected. While systemic capacity pressures continue to weigh on industry-wide profitability, and smaller players face ongoing price competition, market leaders retain the balance sheet strength to navigate the transition. As top-line growth slows, manufacturers lacking proprietary technology, accumulated capital, or global compliance infrastructure risk being squeezed out. This shift explains recent strategic course corrections by major capital allocators. Anode producer Sinomatech canceled a 10.3 billion yuan expansion, cathode supplier Dynanonic abandoned a 10 billion yuan project, and separator manufacturer Semcorp terminated a roughly 2 billion yuan facility in Malaysia. Top-tier players reining in massive investments is a classic sign of an industry transitioning from early expansion to financial discipline. This reallocation of capital does not mean expansion has halted entirely. In the first half of 2026, manufacturers announced over 65 new planned projects representing more than 1,500 GWh of capacity and over 220 billion yuan in total investment. Hunan Yuneng disclosed a 24 billion yuan expansion, while Yahua Group announced additional capacity in Zimbabwe. Expansion continues, but the prerequisites have changed: only enterprises with strong technical barriers, cash reserves, and global compliance infrastructure are positioned to invest while competitors scale back. Technology Race 2.0: Three Fronts If the period between 2022 and 2024 was defined by a race for manufacturing scale, 2025 and 2026 have marked a pivot toward technological differentiation across three distinct fronts. Front One: Structural Shortages in 314Ah Cells The central operational focus for the energy storage supply chain in 2026 has been a structural shortage of 314Ah cells rather than short-term price swings in raw lithium. By March, average spot prices for 314Ah cells from tier-one manufacturers approached 0.40 yuan per Wh, with small-lot orders reaching 0.45 yuan per Wh—a surge of over 25% within six months compared to the 0.30 to 0.34 yuan per Wh seen in August 2025. The immediate driver was rising raw lithium costs—at 180,000 yuan per ton of lithium carbonate, theoretical cell production costs sit between 0.35 and 0.38 yuan per Wh. However, the root cause was a supply gap during the industry's transition to larger formats. As manufacturers shift from 280Ah and 314Ah form factors toward 500Ah+ designs, investment in legacy 314Ah production lines has largely ceased. Because next-generation 500Ah+ cell capacity will not scale up until late 2026, production ramps and customer testing created a temporary bottleneck. During this supply gap, the deficit widened significantly, pushing delivery timelines for select orders into 2027. This dynamic reflects a clear shift in industry economics: market returns are no longer guaranteed simply by bringing capacity online, but by executing format transitions ahead of competitors. CATL has already deployed its 587Ah cell in a 2.4 GWh standalone storage project in Inner Mongolia, while EVE Energy has accelerated mass production of its 628Ah format. With the shift toward larger cell formats underway, manufacturing execution is everything. While 314Ah supply constraints present an immediate operational challenge, solid-state technology represents the long-term competitive battlefield. Front Two: A Return to Realism in Solid-State Batteries Although 2026 has been touted as the inaugural year for commercial solid-state battery deployment, that label requires qualification: current production consists almost entirely of semi-solid (hybrid liquid-solid) chemistries. Models including the NIO ET9, MG4, GAC Hyper, and Chery vehicles have entered the market equipped with semi-solid packs featuring energy densities between 350 and 400 Wh/kg. Because these designs remain compatible with over 90% of existing liquid battery production lines, retooling costs remain manageable and rollout schedules are accelerating. However, the commercial reality of all-solid-state technology remains far more complex than vehicle showroom specifications suggest. In March 2026, Ouyang Minggao, an academician at the Chinese Academy of Sciences, offered a candid assessment: "To be prudent, it is best not to commercialize all-solid-state battery vehicles over the next two years." He cited three major technical hurdles: solid-solid interface stability, where microscopic gaps between solid electrolytes and electrodes cause internal resistance to spike; lithium dendrite formation and safety risks; and the environmental volatility of sulfide electrolytes, which decompose upon exposure to moisture and demand strict manufacturing conditions. Industry leaders report steady if measured progress. CATL’s sulfide-based solid-state cell has surpassed an energy density of 500 Wh/kg, with small-scale production anticipated in 2027. BYD’s 20 GWh facility in Chongqing is scheduled to begin semi-solid production in the third quarter of 2026, targeting pilot runs for all-solid-state cells in 2027. Gotion High-tech plans to initiate operations on a 2 GWh solid-state line by late 2026, while EVE Energy has produced sample 60Ah solid-state cells. A clear timeline has taken shape: 2026 is focused on pilot line verification, 2027 on vehicle testing, and 2030 on potential large-scale commercialization. The implementation of recommended national standard GB/T 43568-2026 (Solid-State Batteries for Electric Vehicles) on July 1, 2026, established an initial regulatory framework for long-term development. Ultimately, 2026 marks less the mass adoption of solid-state technology than a recalibration of market expectations. Meanwhile, an underappreciated demand driver is quietly gathering momentum. Front Three: AIDC Storage as AI Infrastructure In the first five months of 2026, global energy storage shipments for AI data centers (AIDC) reached 10 GWh, surpassing total volume for all of 2025. Industry research firms project that global AIDC storage demand will reach 300 to 400 GWh by 2030—more than twenty times its 2025 level. Capital deployment in the segment is ramping up. CATL invested roughly 4.1 billion yuan to acquire a strategic stake in Senter Power to secure positioning in high-voltage DC power distribution for data centers, while winning a bid for a 2 GW / 4 GWh storage project at a computing center in Guizhou. Fluence signed agreements covering a 12 GW pipeline of potential projects with two major U.S. cloud providers, LG secured eight data center storage contracts totaling 6 GWh—including projects for Oracle—and Panasonic announced 350 billion yen in battery investment aimed at tripling its data center storage revenue. The expansion of AIDC storage is driven by a widening gap between AI computing power demands and utility grid capacity. Power consumption per rack in modern AI facilities has jumped from 5–8 kW in traditional data centers to 40–100 kW, while grid connection approvals and capacity upgrades often take three to five years. Onsite battery systems serve both as backup power and as a bridge to accelerate facility commissioning. Energy storage is moving from an auxiliary fallback to an integrated structural component of data centers. Following NVIDIA’s October 2025 announcement of an 800V DC power architecture—designed to phase out diesel generators and legacy uninterruptible power supplies (UPS)—storage systems are being wired directly into primary distribution networks. This shift expands the market beyond traditional buyers like power utilities and renewable energy developers to encompass cloud providers and infrastructure operators, establishing a distinct category of demand. Globalization 2.0 While domestic market consolidation marks the industry’s initial transition to maturity, international expansion presents a secondary test. Tariff structures, raw material access, and regulatory standards are tightening concurrently across major export markets. Trade barriers represent the most immediate hurdle. The European Union’s countervailing duties on Chinese battery electric vehicles have been in effect for five years and are expanding to include plug-in hybrids. In the United States, the Inflation Reduction Act continues to raise domestic content requirements for power and energy storage batteries. Concurrently, China has reduced its export tax rebates for batteries from 9% to 6% as of April 2026, with complete elimination scheduled for January 2027. Rising trade costs are accelerating a shift from direct product exports to localized overseas manufacturing. At the same time, competition over raw materials is intensifying. The U.S.-led Minerals Security Partnership continues work to build key mineral supply chains outside China, while changing rules in jurisdictions like Zimbabwe highlight shifting export policies. Strategic positioning across raw material supply chains remains an ongoing operational priority. Regulatory compliance presents a quieter but more complex technical hurdle. The European Union’s Battery Passport regulations will become mandatory on February 18, 2027, requiring detailed disclosure of lifecycle carbon footprints, material origins, and recycled content percentages. The impact of these rules depends heavily on how accounting frameworks are defined; systematic discrepancies in baseline emissions databases regarding Chinese energy mixes or manufacturing processes could affect market access. In response, leading Chinese manufacturers are moving from passive compliance to active engagement with international standards. CATL has partnered with BMW and Germany’s Catena-X network to help establish over 90 baseline carbon accounting metrics. BYD invested over 100 million yuan to develop its "i-Carbon Chain" platform for digital carbon tracking across its supply chain. Similarly, REPT BATTERO collaborated with TÜV Rheinland and Circulor on a battery passport initiative, securing third-party verification for 98 independent datasets from an EU Notified Body. Overseas manufacturing footprints are expanding in tandem: CATL’s production complex in Hungary, BYD’s plant in Brazil, Gotion High-tech’s joint venture in the United States, and Envision AESC’s gigafactory in Spain. Chinese battery makers are transitioning from a model of centralized domestic production for export toward localized manufacturing aligned with international standards. This next phase of international expansion hinges on regulatory transparency, supply chain control, and deep local integration. Beyond Maturity In July 2026, as equity valuations diverged from corporate earnings across the lithium sector, market participants wrestled with where the industry stands in its broader evolution. The most visible change is the shift in growth drivers. With energy storage shipments reaching 485 GWh in the first half of the year to account for over 40% of total output, the gap between storage and mobility applications is closing rapidly. This demand-side pivot coincides with capacity rebalancing on the supply side, where power battery installation rates have adjusted from 70% down to the 30%–40% range, signaling an end to early, unbridled expansion while overall margins remain under pressure. These structural shifts are redefining entry barriers across the market. With 314Ah cell prices rising over 25% in six months and AIDC storage demand expanding rapidly, technical capabilities are increasingly determining market positioning. As national standards for solid-state technology take effect and EU Battery Passport deadlines approach, regulatory compliance has become a baseline operational requirement. The trajectory of lithium carbonate—falling to 60,000 yuan, rebounding to 200,000, and settling near 150,000—reflects a market seeking equilibrium. This broader transition was highlighted by a joint policy announcement on July 18, when three Chinese government ministries introduced a new consumption tax structure for batteries. Effective September 1, lithium-ion batteries are subject to a 2% consumption tax, rising to 4% in September 2027, while sodium-ion and solid-state batteries remain exempt through the end of 2028. The policy ends a tax exemption for lithium batteries that spanned more than a decade. Phasing in taxation uses fiscal policy to encourage capacity optimization and technological upgrading by taxing established chemistries while incentivizing next-generation alternatives. For second-tier cell makers operating on narrow margins, the 2% tax burden—equivalent to roughly 0.007 to 0.008 yuan per Wh—will further compress operating margins, reinforcing market consolidation around capitalized leaders. For China's lithium battery industry, 2026 represents a clear inflection point. Enterprises equipped with proprietary technology, international compliance frameworks, and established brand equity face a broader global landscape as the sector matures. Conversely, manufacturers reliant on single customers, lacking technical moats, or unable to meet evolving compliance standards face mounting pressure. The early expansion phase of the lithium battery industry has drawn to a close. Its mature chapter is just beginning. (This article was first published on the TMTPost App. Author | AGI-Signal, Editor | Zhao Hongyu)梅西走下世界杯赛场，变身硅谷投资人。

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